Monday, September 16, 2019

Traders and Policymakers must support Innovations because the two are interconnected



Photo published by CNN in 2018 in an article entitled Africa's Innovations that could change the world.

Damali Ssali.  

There is an interconnection between trade and innovation with one reinforcing the other.

This symbiotic relationship is illustrated by the fact that innovation creates new goods and services that become a source of comparative advantage, which in turn increases trade.

Trade contributes to knowledge transfers between countries because knowledge and technology is embodied in the goods and services that are traded.

Global networks and cross border value chains have ensured that innovation, trade and industrial policies are intertwined much more closely. As a result, many countries are actively pursuing very ambitious innovation policies to boost their competitiveness.

This is informed by the fact that over two thirds of world trade is conducted through global value chains. This has led to a reduction in trade barriers, lowered the cost of transportation and created jobs in emerging economies.

As an example, the value of global trade in clean technologies has more than tripled over the last decade increasing by about 60% from 2006 to 2016. This has contributed to economic development, job creation and climate resilience.

Therefore, holistic approaches to tackling the barriers to the development of clean technologies could help emerging economies further harness the trade opportunities that are availed by clean technology.

As such, the current trade regulatory frameworks, such as the World Trade Organisation Trade Facilitation Agreement and the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), should be re-assessed to ensure that they adequately articulate innovation as a specific policy objective in relation to the knowledge economy and the digital environment.

These trade agreements must ensure that; the rules on digital trade are codified, new rules are developed to facilitate the movement of people to pursue innovation opportunities and rules are developed to codify data collection methodologies on innovation.

The codification of the digital trade policy to cover trade across borders can be done incrementally, by building on the principals of existing international and continental trade agreements. Alternatively, an entirely new international arrangement such as a Digital Economy Trade Agreement can be considered.

Similarly, the creation and spread of new ideas is crucial for innovation. Therefore, the movement of people should be facilitated by policy makers while concentration should be around barriers that hinder the movement of innovative entrepreneurially skilled people.

The AfCFTA aims to create a single market which is expected to not only generate a combined GDP of USD3.4trillion, but also benefit over 1billion people on the continent.

Africa’s digital revolution is riding on the promise of the AfCFTA. More than 400 tech hubs have sprung up across the continent with Lagos, Nairobi and Cape Town emerging as internationally recognised technology centres. These three cities host thousands of start-ups, incubators, innovation hubs and employ thousands of young people. Other cities including our own Kampala are equally catching up.

In simple terms, what really matters to the global trade economy driven by innovation are the benefits that result from that innovation. This is the creation or ‘catalysation’ of truly regional, continental and global markets.

In conclusion, both economic theory and available evidence demonstrate that trade has a positive impact on innovation, which in the long run increases economic growth. 

Jason Furman, the Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers during the Barrack Obama era captured the role trade plays in innovation when he wrote in 2015 that “Trade increases both innovative productivity and incentives for innovation”.  

Therefore, policy makers who seek to enhance emerging economies can do so through supporting innovation to achieve higher growth. This can be done by, not only investing in scientific research and the innovative capacities of entrepreneurs, but also, by making a concerted effort to liberalise trade as a mechanism to increase innovation.

This article is dedicated to Dr. Stella Kiliva who inspired and motivated me to utilise this platform on a much regular basis. Thank you and I am forever grateful.

Nile Post  :  Traders and their advocates must support Innovations because the two are interconnected.




Wednesday, August 14, 2019

Water Transport should be leveraged to facilitate Uganda's Trade and Development



Damali Ssali

The development of Uganda’s trade and economy requires efficient, reliable and competitive transport and logistics.

Unfortunately, water transport, which is the cheapest and most inclusive mode of transport, is underdeveloped and underutilized.

As a result, 95% of cargo and people movement is through road transport. This over-reliance on road transport is unsustainable; with different studies indicate that it has led to the rapid deterioration of the road assets. The annual road maintenance cost is estimated at USD 21m.

In addition, road transport is not the safest mode of transport. The World Health Organisation (2015) estimates the economies such as Uganda lose almost 3% of their GDP to road crashes. That is about USD 800m.

Whilst Uganda has serviceable national road network that covers both the Northern and Central corridor, the limitation of rail and water transport pushes goods transport onto roads creating congestion and raising the unit cost of transport over longer distances.

The current average transport cost per kilometre stands at USD 2 in Uganda. This is twice as high as that of comparative middle-income economies which stands at USD 1 per kilometre.

Furthermore, the World Bank 2016 Logistics Performance Indicator ranked Uganda 58 (out of 180 economies). This ranking must be improved as poor logistics leads to a 0.4% contraction in the GDP of an economy.

This problem is going to be further compounded with upcoming Oil and Gas economy. Conservative estimates report that, during this sector’s peak period of development, an additional 1.2million tonnes of containerised cargo and over 13,000 jobs and passenger traffic is going to be added to the current road load.

The existing road infrastructure is already optimised above capacity and cannot operate with these new capacities without significant deterioration.

Therefore, the development of efficient water transport and related logistics services is the catalyst required to strengthen the autonomy and independence of the Ugandan economy.

An improvement of inland waterways will have a very significant impact on the other transport modes, especially railways and roads, by pulling cargo and passenger traffic to new logistics supply chains. This will allow for sustainable utilization of existing transport capacities.

Uganda’s natural comparative advantage for water transport is evident, as over 30% of the territory is covered by water. This provides navigable channels through rivers and lakes.

However, lake transport is under-utilised. Available data indicates that only 1 million tonnes (about 8%) of total freight cargo, to and through Uganda, uses this mode of transport.  This demonstrates the opportunity available, which if tapped into has the potential to lead to an exponential growth in Uganda’s domestic and cross border trade.

Water transport can be developed to facilitate trade and tourism. This will not only trigger economic growth in Uganda but also the East African Community and the Democratic Republic of Congo. A comprehensive view should be taken on lake transport development to cater for large scale international traffic.

The development must include multimodal ship-road-rail-port and logistics services. Simultaneously the ship building and rehabilitation industry must be catalysed. Water transport is important in shipping passengers, raw materials, manufactured products among domestic and international points of trade. Generally, the capacity of water vessels far exceeds the capacity of rail wagons, and trucks. Therefore, ports intermodal facilities that have warehousing, and physical infrastructure for freight transfer from water vessels to railways and trucks, and vice versa should be prioritised.

Furthermore, inland water transport is the second least labour intensive compared to other modes, with pipelines in the lead. It is characterised by low fixed costs though it has high variable costs related to insurance. The efficiency of a transport mode can be judged in terms of travel time, safety, frequency, cheapness, employment generation, trade transactions, environmental pollution, automation and computerization.  Based on this criteria water transport outperforms road and air transport.

Although Lake Victoria is strategically located at the convergence of the Northern Corridor and the Central Corridor, its potential for marine transport has not been fully exploited. Freight traffic on Lake Victoria is modest. This is mainly due to poor infrastructure of port handling facilities and few vessels.

However, despite these limitations, the Lake Victoria basin alone services the economic activities of several countries. Uganda, Tanzania, Uganda and Kenya directly share this trans-boundary water resource, while Rwanda and Burundi also benefit indirectly. The population of this basin stands at 40million, representing approximately 30% of the entire population of the EAC member countries and a GDP USD30 billion, about 40% of the total EAC economy. Therefore, the potential of the Lake Victoria economy is immense if water transport infrastructure is developed.

The main categories of cargo transported by water is 70% agricultural (food and live animals), 20% Ugandan manufactured products and the rest at 10%.  Most of the users of water transport are in the informal sector, using small motorized and non-motorized boats, to transport goods and services between the islands and across international borders. As such, development must focus on local passenger transport to nearby islands and shorelines, small scale local cargo transport, pedestrian cars and small trucks. The additional advantage of water transport development is that it will not only catalyse the informal fishing industry but also commercial fish farming.

It is important to note that the development of water transport must be in tandem with addressing environmental degradation issues. The reduction in water levels, due to extensive deforestation around the various lake basins, if unchecked, will greatly curtail the navigability of the lakes and rivers.

Uganda can, and should, exploit its natural comparative advantage and develop water transport, through efficient infrastructure and logistics services. This will facilitate domestic and international trade, tourism, employment and economic output.

Damali Ssali is a Trade Development Expert.



Reach a Hand Uganda launches project to improve incomes of young people



Damali Ssali.

Uganda is predominately an informal exporter mainly trading with its neighbours. According to 2014 Bank of Uganda (BoU) data, the country registered an informal trade surplus.

The 2014 BoU data indicates that informal trade accounted for more than 30 per cent of all Ugandan exports, earning about Shs1.5 trillion. DR Congo, which fetched $139m, was Uganda’s largest informal exports destination followed by South Sudan and Kenya, which fetched $119m and $92m, respectively.

Additionally, data from BoU further indicates that informal cross-border exports earned a combined $595m in the 2017/18 financial year with DR Congo continuing to dominate as Uganda’s export destination fetching up to $291m in the period. It was followed by Kenya at $149m, Rwanda and South Sudan at $54m each while Tanzania fetched some $45m.

Agricultural produce, mainly beans, maize, sugar, other grains, bananas and fish as well as locally manufactured goods were the most informally exported items during the period.

Therefore, it is quite important and urgent, that while priority continues to be given to formal traders, some focus and steadfastness ought to be directed towards informal cross border traders too.

A 2015 study conducted by United Nations Economic Commission for Africa indicated that informal trade in Uganda provided more than 59 per cent of non-farm private sector jobs, underscoring its significance in addressing the employment challenge that Uganda finds herself in.

Different studies indicate that more than70 per cent of women-owned businesses are in informal trade, accounting for a significant majority of employment in this sector.

Women spend much of their income on uplifting family livelihoods, among which include buying food, paying school fees and re-investing in their enterprises. Therefore, informal trade, which is mainly dominated by women, must be supported to enable women improve their disposable income to contribute towards social and economic development.

It is important to highlight that women informal cross border traders face a number of unique challenges that limit their growth opportunities. Key among the challenges is low knowledge of export requirements, lack of understanding of quality inspection procedures, lack of information on markets, lack of access to certification procedures and general gender based harassment as well as the general lack of appreciation for the certification processes.

The challenges are compounded by the limited time that women have to invest in their enterprises therefore they have to rely on middlemen to help them uplift and get value for their businesses.

However, amid all this, informal cross border traders have been organizing themselves into associations, cooperatives, and Saccos, which will help them to reason and speak with a single voice to advance their cause.

Additionally, government through the Ministry of Trade and the Ministry of East African Community Affairs is addressing some of these challenges by developing several policy frameworks such as Cross-Border Trade Strategy, which seeks to increase the value of Uganda’s exports of the specified products and services to the targeted markets over the next five years. Other polices are Micro, Small and Medium Sized Enterprise Strategy and the Cross-Border Trade Charter.

Government has also appointed district commercial officers in every district and established regional integration centres at some busy border points and Uganda Revenue Authority is implementing the Women Trader’s Trade Facilitation Framework.

Finally, there are also some other agencies that are supporting cross border trade such as the Stanbic Business Incubator, which is providing business skills development to MSMEs, AbiTrust which is providing support to enhance the export capacity of agri-businesses and Financial Sector Deepening which is looking at provision of inclusive finance.

However, even with this kind of arrangement, there is need to ensure that the full spectrum of informal cross border traders is identified and supported to respond to existing constraints such as non-tariff barriers, limited export capability, lack of information, financing and exclusion of women.

This must be mitigated by putting in place comprehensive interventions and policy regulatory frameworks that support informal cross border traders given that an all-inclusive approach will ensure that Uganda leverages on its geographical location to access the markets around it.

We also need to enhance capacity of small and medium enterprises to provide products and services that meet export standards to ensure easy penetration to intra-regional markets. This will not only enhance cross-border trade but will also promote social and economic development of Uganda.

Informal cross border trade provides a significant source of employment, which, if enhanced, can be the bedrock of the social economic transformation of Uganda.

It is also an economic buffer that can contribute to sustainable, inclusive and youth employment.

Damali Ssali is a Trade Development Expert.

The World News : https://theworldnews.net/ug-news/reach-a-hand-uganda-launches-project-to-improve-incomes-of-young-people

Single Window System boosting Cross Border Trade



In the efforts to ease the tax paying process the URA has launched a Uganda electronic single window system and warned government organs that make URA’s work complicated, to stop it immediately.

Dickson Kateshumbwa the URA customs director revealed that it has come to their notice that traders have been finding it hard to clear their goods, something that jeopardizes URA’s work.



Damali Ssali, a senior programs manager at TradeMark East Africa confirmed the fact that the traders have been getting time hard to get their goods cleared, however, the new system will ease the entire process.


Prioritising informal cross-border trade is key to economic transformation.



Informal Women Cross Border Traders from Elegu Border Post.



Damali Ssali.

Uganda is predominantly an informal exporter mainly trading with its neighbours. According to 2014 Bank of Uganda (BoU) data, the country registered an informal trade surplus. The 2014 BoU data indicates that informal trade accounted for more than 30 per cent of all Ugandan exports, earning about Shs1.5 trillion.

DR Congo, which fetched $139m, was Uganda’s largest informal exports destination followed by South Sudan and Kenya, which fetched $119m and $92m respectively. Additionally, data from BoU further indicates that informal cross-border exports earned a combined $595m in the 2017/18 financial year with DR Congo continuing to dominate as Uganda’s export destination fetching up to $291m in the period. It was followed by Kenya at $149m, Rwanda and South Sudan at $54m each while Tanzania fetched some $45m.

Agricultural produce mainly beans, maize, sugar, other grains, bananas and fish as well as locally manufactured goods, were the most informally exported items during the period. Therefore, it is quite important and urgent that while priority continues to be given to formal traders, some focus and steadfastness ought to be directed towards informal cross-order traders too.

A 2015 study conducted by United Nations Economic Commission for Africa indicated that informal trade in Uganda provided more than 59 per cent of non-farm private sector jobs, underscoring its significance in addressing the employment challenge that Uganda finds herself in.

Different studies indicate that more than70 per cent of women-owned businesses are in informal trade, accounting for a significant majority of employment in this sector. Women spend much of their income on uplifting family livelihoods, including buying food, paying school fees and re-investing in their enterprises.

Therefore, informal trade, which is mainly dominated by women, must be supported to enable women improve their disposable income to contribute towards social and economic development. It is important to highlight that women informal cross-border traders face a number of unique challenges that limit their growth opportunities.

Key among the challenges is low knowledge of export requirements, lack of understanding of quality inspection procedures, lack of information on markets, lack of access to certification procedures and general gender-based harassment as well as the general lack of appreciation for the certification processes.

The challenges are compounded by the limited time that women have to invest in their enterprises, therefore, they have to rely on middlemen to help them uplift and get value for their businesses.

However, amid all this, informal cross-border traders have been organising themselves into associations, cooperatives, and Saccos, which will help them to reason and speak with a single voice. Additionally, government through the ministries of Trade, and East African Community Affairs, is addressing some of these challenges by developing several policy frameworks such as Cross-Border Trade Strategy, which seeks to increase the value of Uganda’s exports of the specified products and services to the targeted markets over the next five years. Other polices are Micro, Small and Medium Sized Enterprise Strategy and the Cross-Border Trade Charter.

Government has also appointed district commercial officers in every district and established regional integration centres at some busy border points and Uganda Revenue Authority is implementing the Women Trader’s Trade Facilitation Framework. Many of these projects are being implemented by government with support from development partners such as TradeMark East Africa, DANIDA and DFID, among others.

However, even with this kind of arrangement, there is need to ensure that the full spectrum of informal cross-border traders is identified and supported to respond to existing constraints such as non-tariff barriers, limited export capability, lack of information, financing and exclusion of women.
This must be mitigated by putting in place comprehensive interventions and policy regulatory frameworks that support informal cross-border traders given that an all-inclusive approach will ensure that Uganda leverages on its geographical location to access the markets around it.

We also need to enhance capacity of small and medium enterprises to provide products and services that meet export standards to ensure easy penetration to intra-regional markets.

This will not only enhance cross-border trade but will also promote social and economic development of Uganda.

Informal cross-border trade provides a significant source of employment, which, if enhanced, can be the bedrock of the socio-economic transformation of Uganda.

It is also an economic buffer that can contribute to sustainable, inclusive and youth employment.


Ms Damali Ssali is a Trade Development Expert.



Big Eye Uganda: https://bigeye.ug/facilitation-of-informal-cross-border-traders-will-lead-to-economic-transformation/

Trade Information Portal to further improve the ease of doing business in Uganda



Ms Damali Ssali, the Ag. Country Director TradeMark East Africa, Uganda believes that the recently launched Trade Information Portal will further improve the ease of doing business in Uganda through making information about Uganda’s exports, imports and goods in transit readily available for traders and consumers alike.

“The most recent World Bank Doing Business Report indicated that Uganda had declined from 115 in 2017 to 122 in 2018.  We expect that the launch and operationalisation of the Trade Information Portal will contribute to Uganda’s improvements in the Word Bank ranking on ease of doing business in 2019,” Ms Ssali noted at the launch of the trade information portal.

“The Uganda Trade Information Portal is a trade facilitation platform providing access to fully transparent practical step-by-step guides to the licenses, pre-clearance permits and clearance formalities for the most traded goods in and out of Uganda: at each step, the trade portal tells the user where to go, who to see, what documents to bring, what forms to fill, what costs to pay, what law justifies the step and where to complain to in case of a problem.

“The Trade Information Portal is implemented by the Ministry of Trade Industry and Cooperatives (MTIC) and the National Trade Facilitation Committee, in partnership with the East African Community Secretariat (EAC) and with support from United States Agency for International Development (USAID), TradeMark East Africa (TMEA), United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) and International Trade Centre (ITC).

Read Full Speech Here:  https://money.hipipo.com/2018/11/23/trade-information-portal-to-further-improve-the-ease-of-doing-business-in-uganda-notes-trademark-country-director/

Elegu One Stop Border Post is a new dawn for Uganda-South Sudan Trade. Or is it?



Last Thursday, Uganda government and development partners formally handed over the new Elegu One Stop Border Post to Uganda Revenue Authority (URA) – the agency charged with managing all the country’s borders.

This technical handover was graced by representatives from Uganda, South Sudan and development partners.

Costing up to about USD 10 million, the Elegu one stop border post (OSBP) was funded by the United Kingdom’s Department for International Development (DFID) through TradeMark East Africa and government of Uganda.

To many, the completion and consequent handover of this vital facility is a new beginning that will further improve trade between Uganda and South Sudan, which is by the way already massive with the latter ranking as the former’s second biggest exports destination.

According to statistics from the central bank, Uganda in the 2017/18 financial year alone exported goods worth USD 311.34 million to South Sudan compared to USD 14.54 million of imports from the same country. Uganda’s exports to South Sudan included informal exports worth USD 54.17m in the same period.

Furthermore, border records indicate that over 300 cargo trucks are cleared at the Elegu-Nimule border everyday. Plus, there are more than 1000 informal cross border traders operating in the same area.

In a brief interview with traders and truck drivers at the Elegu market, many were very positive that this milestone infrastructure would facilitate trade through reducing clearance times and increasing collaboration between the two neighbors.

“ It is the first of its kind. Our biggest problem has always been floods at the clearance point and delayed clearance. But we have been told that the Elegu border post will solve these issues. We are optimistic that business is changing for the better,” Mr Nyero Daniel, an informal trader noted.
Meanwhile Ms Molly Andego, a cross border trader noted that now that the infrastructure is in place, it should be equipped with all facilities that are in other OSBPs across the region.

“ We thank everyone that contributed to this. It has taken long but it is finally here. We expect that at the soonest, this Elegu border post will be fitted with all systems and resources like they are in Busia and Mutukula border posts.”

Slow Movement on South Sudan side.

Nonetheless, while the Elegu border post is ready to facilitate trade, the Nimule side is not. In functionality, a one stop border post connects two countries and as such, must have presence at both sides of the border, in this case Elegu for Uganda and Nimule for South Sudan.

Unfortunately however, even though DFID and TradeMark EA are committed to constructing the required infrastructure in Nimule, pockets of instability in South Sudan have delayed the process.

In a recent interview, Ms Damali Ssali, the Ag. Country Director TradeMark East Africa, Uganda noted that “For Nimule, due to the crisis is South Sudan; construction of the refugee reception area is underway. When peace returns in South Sudan, and funding is available, the Nimule border will be fully constructed.”

But according to Hon Mou Mou Athian Kuol, the undersecretary in South Sudan’s ministry of Trade, Industries and East African Community affairs, the recently signed peace agreement between H.E Salva Kiir and former Vice President – Hon Riek Machar will last and thus the construction of the Nimule border post will be fast-tracked.

Hon. Mou Mou Athian Kuol further promised that together with the S Sudan cabinet, they are going to make sure that Ugandan Traders are not mistreated in S Sudan.

“I have noted the issues about continuous mistreatment of Ugandan Traders by our people of South Sudan. As soon as I go back to South Sudan, I am going to table these issues to my bosses in the cabinet. I promise that this will be addressed. There is no reason for mistreating people that bring goods and services to us. We are all in business and we need each other,” Hon Mou Kuol noted.

The Elegu OSBP is among the over ten one stop border posts constructed by TradeMark East Africa in the East African Community. The others include; Mirama Hills Uganda / Kagitumba Rwanda, Busia Kenya/ Busia Uganda, Malaba Kenya / Malaba Uganda, Taveta Kenya / Holili Tanzania, Mutukula Tanzania / Mutukula Uganda, Kobero Burundi/ Kabanga Tanzania and Tunduma Tanzania.

HiPipo: https://money.hipipo.com/2018/11/20/elegu-one-stop-border-post-is-a-new-dawn-for-uganda-south-sudan-trade-or-is-it/